Posts Tagged ‘academy awards’

2014 Oscar Nomination Predictions

Wednesday, January 15th, 2014

I’m paying less attention than usual this year, but I’m going to make some guesses anyway.

I’m betting tomorrow morning we see a full 10 Best Picture nominees, rather than the last two years’ nine. Each of these should be capable of grabbing the required 5% first place votes.

In the other categories, I’m sticking fairly close to the guild award nominees —  not seeing a ton of room for upsets. The only real wacky pick is McConaughey getting dual nominations in lead and supporting, which just seems like the kind of thing the Academy would do.

Best Picture

  • 12 Years a Slave
  • American Hustle
  • Captain Phillips
  • Dallas Buyers Club
  • Gravity
  • Her
  • Inside Llewyn Davis
  • Nebraska
  • Saving Mr. Banks
  • The Wolf of Wall Street

Lead Actor

  • Bruce Dern (Nebraska)
  • Chiwetel Ejiofor (12 Years a Slave)
  • Tom Hanks (Captain Phillips)
  • Matthew McConaughey (Dallas Buyers Club)
  • Forest Whitaker (The Butler)

Lead Actress

  • Cate Blanchett (Blue Jasmine)
  • Sandra Bullock (Gravity)
  • Judi Dench (Philomena)
  • Meryl Streep (August: Osage County)
  • Emma Thompson (Saving Mr. Banks)

Supporting Actor

  • Barkhad Abdi (Captain Phillips)
  • Daniel Brühl (Rush)
  • Michael Fassbender (12 Years a Slave)
  • Jared Leto (Dallas Buyers Club)
  • Matthew McConaughey (Mud)

Supporting Actress

  • Jennifer Lawrence (American Hustle)
  • Lupita Nyong’o (12 Years a Slave)
  • Julia Roberts (August: Osage County)
  • June Squibb (Nebraska)
  • Oprah Winfrey (The Butler)


  • Alfonso Cuarón (Gravity)
  • Paul Greengrass (Captain Phillips)
  • Spike Jonze (Her)
  • Steve McQueen (12 Years a Slave)
  • David O. Russell (American Hustle)

Original Screenplay

  • American Hustle
  • Blue Jasmine
  • Her
  • Inside Llewyn Davis
  • Nebraska

Adapted Screenplay

  • 12 Years a Slave
  • Before Midnight
  • Captain Phillips
  • Philomena
  • The Wolf of Wall Street

The Oscar Diversity Outcry Begins

Wednesday, January 26th, 2011

Only a couple of notable surprises in the Oscar nominees announced yesterday (Javier Bardem, the Coens over Chris Nolan). But even more predictable is the media coverage. Just like I warned you in my last post:

CNN: Where’s the diversity at the Oscars?

2011 Oscar Predictions

Saturday, January 15th, 2011

This year’s Oscars promise to be duller and whiter than ever. But I still like predicting elections, and making lists, and I guess I like movies too. So let’s talk Oscars!

I really mean it about the “whiter” bit. Not only is the ceremony to be hosted by beloved caucasian icons Anne Hathaway and James Franco, but from what I can see there is a virtual zero percent chance that we see any nonwhite actors or directors nominated (possibly screenwriters too, but I’m not as sure because I don’t know what any of them look like and don’t really care to [and anyway Aaron Sorkin is probably white enough to cancel out anyone who isn't]). The only black actor with even the remotest of chances at a nomination is Halle Berry, who scored a (typically meaningless) Golden Globe nod for a movie called Frankie and Alice that currently has a 20% rating on Rotten Tomatoes. If her name does somehow show up on Oscar nomination day, you can be assured this was done strictly to mitigate this whitepocalypse of a ceremony. (more…)