December is almost upon us. So how’s that Oscar race shaping up?
Actually, this is looking like one of the most competitive races in a long time. The closest we have to a “sure winner” in any category would be Atonement for Best Picture, and that’s based almost entirely on expectations. If that movie turns out to be good but not great, suddenly everything’s wide open.
So, based on all that I’ve seen and read so far, I’ve taken a stab at ranking the potential nominees in all major acting categories, plus Best Pic and Director. These aren’t rankings based on personal opinion — I don’t think I’ve seen half of these films yet — but ranked by the likelihood of their receiving Oscar nominations. There are ten selections per category, and if the real nominees were announced today I believe they’d consist of the first five (bolded) from each list. There’s plenty of time for all this to change, of course, which is what makes it fun (for me, anyway).
Also, I’m not guessing winners at this point. (more…)